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Thursday, March 17, 2022

Death of Til Hazel, King of Northern Virginia's Suburban Growth Machine

When I first got involved in these issues more than 20 years ago, of course suburban sprawl was a big issue--I lived in it from 1973 to 1978 and a couple of summers afterwards.  In the DC area, one of the key examples was sprawl in places like Fairfax County, and of course I was derisive of the quality of land use planning.  (Below: Tysons "Corner" Virginia.  In the last 15 years, "Corner" was dropped from business district branding.)


Imagine my surprise a few years later to come across a Fairfax County planning department report, The Vanishing Land: Proposals for Open Space Preservation, c. 1962, about the problems of sprawl, land use development, hopscotching of land plots furthering sprawl outwards, and recommendations for change.

From page 20, Increase of Land Consumption for Suburban Development 

"The rapid urbanization and population increase in Fairfax County, as in urban counties all over the country, are causing logical concern over the growing lack of efficient use of land necessary of efficient servicing of these lands. The mass exodus of middle and upper income families from the metropolitan center to "cheap, open, rural land, in the country," has resulted in hundreds of large-lot subdivisions which have skipped over previously serviced areas and are demanding equal services and schools further and further out." 

Page 7, the Introduction starts out with the question "Is it Too Late To Save Open Space?" 

"Fairfax County is nearing a crisis in the supply of remaining open land due to the fantastically swift, uncoordinated development in the County's urban fringe over the past two decades. This urbanization is leapfrogging its way across the entire County, replacing the cherished rural atmosphere. 

If the present rate of consumption of open land occurs for two more decades (160-200 acres per 1,000 new residents), the entire County will have been eaten up in urban sprawl, and all of the desirable tracts of open land will have vanished." 

The publication is well designed, with great images, fold-out maps, die-cut effects, a mail-in "Business Reply Card" postage-paid four question survey, etc.

Of course, those recommendations for change were never enacted, because of the power of land use interests.  And we know what happened with the land.

New Metrorail station for Tysons.  VDOT photo by Trever Wrayton.

Painting by Bradley Stevens.

One of those powerful interests was John "Til" Hazel, a lawyer and developer key to the growth and sprawl of Fairfax County and elsewhere in Suburban Virginia.  The Washington Post reports on his death ("John ‘Til’ Hazel Jr., lawyer and developer who transformed Virginia suburbs, dies at 91").

From the Washington City Paper article "The Economics of Stephen Fuller":

“Basically, the political world is controlled by the anti-growth people,” said Hazel at the press conference. “We can’t let the ‘antis’ control the world.”

From the Washingtonian article "Secrets of Success: Five Washington Business Leaders Who Went After Opportunities to Work Their Way to the Top":

Hazel's law firm had been hired to acquire the land to build the Washington Beltway. He became an expert on zoning, acquisition, and eminent domain. Later Hazel steered Ted Lerner through the legal maze so the developer could build Tysons Corner Center and the Tysons II shopping, office, and hotel complex. 

In 1961 Hazel left the law firm. He soon became a county judge and, in his spare time, practiced zoning law. Hazel realized that Northern Virginia was changing, and he wanted to be a player, not an observer. 

"A blind man could see the potential," Hazel says. "Fairfax was the frontier. It was open to ideas." But 

Hazel saw possibilities that others couldn't and–more important–was able to turn them into bricks and mortar. In 1972 he linked up with Milton V. Peterson and began developing communities like Burke Centre and Franklin Farm. By 1989 it was estimated that one of every six Fairfax residents lived on land that Hazel/Peterson developed. The company also built Fair Lakes, a 35-building office complex.

(These quotes remind me of the now defunct Regardie's Magazine, which focused on local industry, especially real estate, and the Washington Business Journal, which is devoted to real estate development coverage as well.  Bisnow a web platform on the real estate industry, grew out of WBJ in a way, as one of their writers left to create it.)

-- Capital Beltway history website

The Growth Machine thesis argues that land use intensification is the primary goal of political and economic elites, because real estate development is the primary local industry and the source of tax revenue supporting local government.

While the thesis focuses on center cities, it's fully applicable to the suburbs, as land development is the number one industry in the U.S.  And post-war growth was essential to the US in terms of economic development, GDP growth, population expansion and accommodation, etc.  

There is some academic writing that addresses these issues in terms of Fairfax County:

-- "The Growth Machine Stops? Urban Politics and the Making and Remaking of an Edge City," Urban Affairs Review (2012).
-- The Fight for Fairfax: A Struggle for a Great American County, by Russ Banham
-- "Visions of the Future as Spaces of Engagement: The Political Economy of Transit-Oriented Redevelopment in Tysons Corner, VA," Cities in the 21st Century, v. 2 (2010)
-- "Happy to Grow: Development and Planning in Fairfax County, Virginia," Harvard University

And the Post certainly covered it, such as "TIL HAZEL, KING OF THE NEW FRONTIER," which led to the publication of the book Edge City, by former Post writer Joel Garreau ("An Overview of the Edge City Theory," Thoughtco).

18 comments:

  1. charlie8:34 AM

    Just to tie this and your train evacuation stories together:


    1.Growth machines intensification more obvious in suburban DC than DC itself. "Brown field" has been captured by a small oligarchy because of regulatory/financial issues.


    2. Usual argument is land is cheap in the US and a fairfax level of density is a good usage. I agree too auto centric but that's a nature of lot sizes.

    3. The highway network is a direct outgrowth of military needs -- Eisenhower doing the truck tour of the US in the 1920s and does give us the most incredibly flexible logistics system, but not a good way to transport people.

    4. I've argued before that federal funding is designed well for cities of around 250,000 people but doesn't scale well upwards. Actually same as in soviet union -- you had to hit a million people to get a metro system funded. (Austin would not count in the soviet system)

    5. Going back to cold war, strong advantages of having a diapered population centers rather than what we have now which is around 5-8 mega urban areas and then around 12 subtler areas.

    6. Other ways to increase the price of land -- EU model which is drive up ag subsidies, tying urban growth boundaries to transport or key utilities (water, gas, paved roads), but we are uncomfortable with all of them.

    7. Given the numbers, I suspect most people fleeing Ukraine are doing so by car.

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  2. More on this later. C. 2002 I met an attractive woman at a workshop in DC. After two failed long distance relationships in Texas and Michigan I resolved to stay away from long distance relationships. She lived in Fairfax County.

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  3. charlie1:01 PM

    yep, sounds about right.

    Had the same with the girl from Silver Spring. Well that and them cats. And that she wanted to sleep in her backyard. Too weird.

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  4. 1. The reality is that the suburban growth machine is and has been more significant than the urban growth machine, outside of a few center cities that still have downtowns.

    I can't claim to be an expert, but I'd divvy it up between commercial and residential production, but some people did both.

    In Orange County you have the Segerstroms (ex strawberry farmers) who built South Coast Plaza Mall, but the big player was the Irvine Company which mostly built housing, but also shopping centers.

    In Suburban Detroit you had two firms that became national players in residential housing production, KB (Kaufman and Broad) being the most significant.

    In Suburban DC you have Foulger Pratt in MoCo, Ryan Homes, of course players like Hazel, Lerners, Peterson. The principles of JBG.

    In Silicon Valley in commercial development you had Arrillaga.

    https://paloaltoonline.com/news/2022/01/24/john-arrillaga-one-silicon-valleys-top-philanthropists-dies-at-84

    William Levitt, etc.

    Etc.

    But this was a function of suburban land mostly being greenfield at the end of 1945. Center cities were mostly developed, and certainly no longer had large tracts of land able to be developed.

    That was the impetus behind suburban development like Chevy Chase and the development of railroad suburbs like Takoma Park in the 1880s and onward.

    That process was the same across other major cities (e.g., Philadelphia "Main Line"), the streetcar suburbs of Boston written about by Sam Bass Warner.

    And a bunch of examples in Urban Fortunes are suburban.

    The issue then became how some of these companies shifted from focusing on one metropolitan area to working on a multi-market basis, and becoming semi national companies.

    KB Homes was one of the earliest to do this. Toll Brothers is a later example.

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  5. 3. It is an urban myth about Eisenhower and the highway system. A plan was released in 1939 for a public road system, in response to an earlier charge by Congress. In 1944, Congress authorized the creation of an interstate highway plan called for in that earlier document. But it wasn't til the Eisenhower Administration that the money was appropriated. In 1956.

    Given it was the Cold War, they justified it by positioning it in part in terms of the national defense. Had the Eisenhower narrative etc. to help sell it.

    https://www.fhwa.dot.gov/interstate/interstatemyths.cfm#question4

    I can't find it anymore, but for awhile there was some pages of the Milwaukee Journal online after it was passed, the paper then being a Hearst Newspaper, and at least one of the articles was about how the Hearst Newspapers had been a big proponent of passage.

    That being said, certainly that was an element. The logistics of it were eminently logical.

    But I don't think we ever anticipated that there would be capacity issues.

    https://vm.tiktok.com/ZTdfPVtv1/

    And as you point out all the time, the intent was really more for trucks and inter-regional/interstate commerce.

    And ultimately there is a capacity issue when it's focused on cars. Therefore have a balanced transportation system, like Germany.

    But that moment passed long ago.

    Accentuated by the fact that the US was both a major oil producer and a motor vehicle (cars and trucks) manufacturer.

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  6. 4. I don't know much about Russian planning, but a guy on the pro-urb list does and wrote about it a few months back, pretty complicated, about oblasts, etc. I'll try to find it and append it.

    But yes...

    WRT subways, etc., an important point. But also an enigma, since we went all in on cars.

    Eg I've always thought that building light rail in places like Norfolk is insane (last I checked about 7,000 riders/day).

    Someone I knew argued "well it helps other places justify investment in transit."

    But when it's minimally used, it's just derided.

    It'd be better to do focused streetcar networks, although we've learned with DC that such projects can be screwed up too.

    That being said, France has done a good job pushing LR investment down to regions. Of course, part of it is about national industrial policy (business for Alstom; just like tram and subway in the Basque country is business for CAF; I don't know if they've been involved in the Spanish HSR program). And they have the backbone of rail, and Paris as a premier example for the rest of the country.

    Perhaps if the US would have retained some manufacturing outside of locomotives and train cars. But even those companies wouldn't have been able to stand up to the car companies.

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  7. 5. I'm not sure you know, but you probably do, but dispersal of the population because of the threat of nuclear war was a specific issue for the National Capital Planning Commission in the 1960s.

    And the initial Montgomery County land use plan -- "wedges and corridors" -- too.

    https://www.montgomeryplanning.org/community/general_plans/wedges_corridors/wedges_corridors64.shtm

    FWIW, I do remember seeing a Nike missile site in suburban, probably exurban, Detroit somewhere.

    https://wdet.org/2015/08/24/curiosid-when-detroit-was-armed-with-nuclear-missiles/

    And as a kid, in response to ads on tv, I sent away to Pueblo, Colorado for a booklet on creating your own backyard nuclear shelter.

    It's still in DC, but I picked up some kind of federal publication on nuclear disaster response planning for the DC area at an ephemera sale.

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  8. 6. I know of a couple urban growth boundaries, Baltimore County and Portland. Portland has a Metropolitan Commission to enforce it. Baltimore County controls it through what they call the URDL, Urban Rural Development Line. They won't provide "city water and sewers" in the rural area (with a couple of exceptions), which controls the ability to develop.

    MoCo's got the Ag Reserve which was created in 1987 (Baltimore County did theirs in the 1960s). But previous planning director Rollin Stanley made the point that all the Ag Reserve did was get hopscotched by development in Frederick County.

    But...

    I'm not even against suburban development, just sprawl and automobile dependence. It's not like cities had the capacity to take in all the new population.

    If we had developed more town like places (like Birmingham and Royal Oak in Oakland County Michigan, Media, Pennsylvania, to some extent Haddonfield, NJ, and of course places like Hoboken and Jersey City, or for that matter Cleveland Heights) and still maintained transit, and had some decent density, it wouldn't have been so bad.

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  9. 7. I would think you're right, but I haven't seen much media coverage of car-based flight.

    OTOH, I haven't exhaustively read coverage of the war, because it's so $%^&*( depressing. What a W#$%^&*( waste. Not just for the Ukrainians, but even the Russian conscripts who are cannon fodder.

    What a W#$%^&*( waste.

    And the stuff about NATO expansion causing this is b.s. too. It's because Ukraine was becoming a democratic country and that's the last thing Putin wanted, a highly visible country on its border being successful by not being a kleptocracy-autocracy.

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  10. This isn't suburban per se, East St. Louis is a city secondary to St. Louis, but in Illinois.

    But how it's been abandoned in favor of further out suburban development is a crime, just as it was a crime that cities were abandoned.

    Belleville News-Democrat: East St. Louis nonprofit plans to build new subdivision, other developments.

    https://www.bnd.com/news/local/article259389454.html

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  11. charlie10:33 AM

    RE: highways/defense

    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/1919_Motor_Transport_Corps_convoy

    I agree putting the highway money into a DOD bill may have been a tactical move at the time, but Eisenhower was thinking of this for a very long time.

    (as were a lot of other people).


    Did not know about the NPCC and nuclear war!

    yeah, one thing you see in Europe in a lot of suburbanization -- but creating better walking/transit options at the same time. That's what is missing here.

    And given what we are seeing at Tysons I don't see much of the suburban growth machine adopting this. Intense density, car dominant, looks like a mini Dubai.

    Soviets were very pro-urban in their own way. Lenin-- communism's is soviets+electricity. Also the lack of land ownership, which is still very much the case in China.


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  12. The Washington Post: Opinion | How John Tilghman Hazel remade Washington's suburbs.
    https://www.washingtonpost.com/opinions/2022/03/18/how-til-hazel-remade-washingtons-suburbs/

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  13. It'd be interesting to find out when Eisenhower began recounting his story. There is no question that the experience underscored the value of having an integrated, nationwide highway system. We can quibble about the import. Likely he mentioned the story when aiming to get people to vote for the act.

    2. Excellent point about Tysons as an example of "hypersuperblocks." They had an opportunity to repattern land use with the Metrorail, but they didn't. I wrote a few pieces about it.

    I just can't see how without doing that, that Metrorail is way more like a railroad than a subway, with the "increasing returns from proximity" that come from monocentric transit. Even before the pandemic, not that many people rode that end, about 15,000 people.

    We had friends who lived in Reston, and we went out there a bunch of times, and she talked about being able to take the Metro to Tysons Center. I didn't say anything. She had a young child. She'd have to drive to the Reston Metro and park. Get on the Metrorail, get off at Tysons and then get from the station to the shopping center. With a kid.

    Unless there is a shuttle to the station etc. it's pretty inefficient.

    In terms of Tysons I mentioned this years ago in terms of the number of stations per mile, and Alex B. criticized my point. But I always use the example of Capitol South to Potomac Avenue, about 2 miles and three stations, and Ballston to Clarendon, about 2 miles and four stations, about the use of transit station density as a way to repattern land use.

    The distance from McLean to Spring Hill is about 5 miles for four stations.

    I argue that they should have created a circulator.

    http://urbanplacesandspaces.blogspot.com/2020/07/a-thought-about-intra-district-transit.html

    Embarassingly, apparently I suggested the same thing in 2008.

    http://urbanplacesandspaces.blogspot.com/2008/03/should-there-be-circulator-bus-system.html

    Plus the failure to do urban design improvements in advance/simultaneous with the Silver Line's opening.

    http://urbanplacesandspaces.blogspot.com/2020/07/tysons-corner-10-years-after-plan-to.html


    Urban design and placemaking elements aren't only relevant to the center city. But because the people there aren't particularly sensitive to it, it's not gonna happen,

    You do have pods, like the Mosaic District. Which isn't particularly transformative.

    https://www.washingtonpost.com/realestate/the-pieces-have-all-come-together-in-fairfaxs-mosaic-district/2020/01/08/65dd90c4-2367-11ea-a153-dce4b94e4249_story.html

    But Reston Town Center is probably the best you can do. People will drive to it. And then they'll walk around. And drive back to their subdivisions. (Not unlike Bethesda vis a vis Montgomery County.)

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  14. Without, not with, increasing returns from transit proximity.

    Eg this article makes the point that when the Boston green line transit extension is completed, 80% of Somerville residents will be within walking distance of a station.

    Boston.com: The first part of the Green Line Extension opens Monday. Here’s what you need to know..
    https://www.boston.com/news/local-news/2022/03/18/green-line-extension-opening-phase-1-preview/

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  15. charlie10:17 AM

    "It is well that war is so terrible,otherwise we shall grow fond of it"

    One part is the waste. It's the opposite of sustainability. Just massive stupid waste.

    The human element is beyond comprehension. 10 million refugees -- almost all women and children. That's likely almost off of them -- from a population of 44 million.

    One thing is that you are very much a "systems thinker" and you can see that most Americans are "goal thinkers". Russians are also systems thinkers.

    the propaganda aspect is also beyond mind blowing - far worse than the "Rape of Belgium" in WW1. We're talking Spanish American War levels.


    RE: Eisenhower, highways and defense. Yes, he wasn't the only person thinking of the value of the highway system for military uses. Out gas taxes have built a world class logistics system but an inferior system for moving people around in big cities.

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  16. Suzanne asked me about Portland yesterday.

    They were amazing at recommitting to transit, but it built from a recommitment to Downtown. And they've made congruent land use decision making. They continue to make iterative decisions that build upon the earlier tough, visionary choices.

    That being said DC still has a 50% better mode split for transit, walking, biking. Because it had (until recently the super concentrated office district. + the walking city urban design by Lenfant. It's pretty much impossible to reconcentrate after decades of deconcentration.

    The interesting difference between cities in Germany versus the US is that by adopting the car we said f you to cities and to other forms of transportation. Homogeneity in mobility. (But also at the same post war moment, the US was rich. Germany wasn't so car ownership was still rare. German car companies didn't really take off til the late 1960s, So cities as an efficient place to live and work when mobilityoptions are limited, and transit, remained functional. As it was the rise if the car killed transit in many places even before the depressio. Although the depression and especially the war revived transit for awhile.)

    It's convenient but wasteful and not particularly resilient.

    IEA said to deal with oil price rise, we need to consume less. Post editorial said we need more oil supplies and production.

    We do car heroin here. But still we drive maybe 5,000 miles.

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  17. Anonymous8:31 PM

    There was an NPR story, maybe "The World" or maybe one of the many podcasts I listen to, about the efforts of the Ukraine railroad, which as of last week was running at crazy capacity. Staff came out of retirement to contribute, and we're talking about the pride of managing to stuff in folks in trains way over capacity. Moving thousands nonstop around the clock.

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  18. Anonymous1:05 PM

    Oops you posted the story about Ukraine trains. Dunno how I missed it!

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