The 2012 national election
Scary how the demographics skew so much in terms of race. And how center city and suburban voters trend Democrat. When you look at a red/blue map of the entire country, it looks like bits of blue in a sea of red, but if its weighted by population, its a bit more equal. The Patchwork Nation site looks at the demographics in a more fine-grained manner. See "Why Obama Won: Explaining the Patchwork Vote" from WNYC.
I was worried that I was going to have to reprint The Stranger's--Seattle's leading alternative weekly--screed after the 2004 election, which was very bitter over the results, and how cities and suburbs were trumped by more exurban voters. See "The Urban Archipelago: It's the Cities, Stupid."
With regard to Virginia, the city/suburban vote definitely favored Tim Kaine in the Senate race over George Allen, even, surprisingly, in the Hampton Roads area.
Labels: elections and campaigns, electoral politics, urban vs. suburban vs. rural
4 Comments:
We are still a 48/48 county. Basically, a vote for more divided goverment.
A Romney who played up his mexican roots and made a strong pitch for real immigration reform might have won. I understand that he would not been the nominee (see Rick Perry) but it could be that close.
The regional divide scares me far more than the racial divide. Is a coalition of white men with graduate degress, women of all races, blacks and hispanics (minus cubans) sustainable?
http://themonkeycage.org/blog/2012/09/23/puncturing-myths-about-the-white-working-class/
i don't think it's sustainable, although I hope the Obama election machine will be kept on the ready for 2014 and 2016.
I think we need to do a better job on message i.e., the Thomas Frank stuff...
one of the problems with the coalition is they tend not to vote in off years, which is one reason the R can control the house. Control of statehouse/redistricting also makes a huge difference.
But potential for 2016, although hispanics can easily be chipped off.
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