Rebuilding Place in the Urban Space

"A community’s physical form, rather than its land uses, is its most intrinsic and enduring characteristic." [Katz, EPA] This blog focuses on place and placemaking and all that makes it work--historic preservation, urban design, transportation, asset-based community development, arts & cultural development, commercial district revitalization, tourism & destination development, and quality of life advocacy--along with doses of civic engagement and good governance watchdogging.

Tuesday, April 04, 2023

Not a suprise: Senator son of former car company president disfavors bicycle lanes, tax credits for electric bikes

 Over the past few years I have been thinking a lot about the concept of the petro state ("The Petro States of America," Bloomberg) at the sub-national scale, and how the points scholars make about how resource extraction based economies make a lot of bad decisions when it comes to the environment, priorities, tax policy etc. are relevant to states too, not just nations/the national scale.

-- "Gasoline Dependent Sprawl
-- "Oil dependence | The US as a Petro-state and gasoholic | and war"

Tesoro oil refinery, Long Beach, California.

In short, US states like Texas, Oklahoma, North Dakota, Wyoming and Utah are petro states for the most part making short term decisions about energy policy that favor extraction and the primacy of an automobile centric mobility paradigm.

(Note that California is an exception.  It is a major oil producer, but because of air quality and other environmental concerns, it is committed to moving away from dependence on oil.  OTOH, it is still very much a poster child for the sprawl development paradigm.)

Utah is sprawl centric, has some oil and coal production, and is home to many refineries dedicated to refining oil produced in Wyoming and nearby states.  

Because of the mountains, gasoline use in cars, and oil refining (and other extractive industries like copper and magnesium and their environmental effects) the air quality in the Salt Lake Valley can be very bad (in fact, I've developed a persistent cough as a result).

But for the most part, machinations in how air quality is measured and reported to the EPA means the state can get away without dealing with it in substantive ways.

Although these days the state is getting lots of media attention because of the decline of the Great Salt Lake, which is seriously affected by the loss of water supply because of drought and agriculture ("As the Great Salt Lake Dries Up, Utah Faces an ‘Environmental Nuclear Bomb'." New York Times, "‘Last nail in the coffin’: Utah’s Great Salt Lake on verge of collapse," Guardian, "The countdown to save Utah's Great Salt Lake," El Pais).

Mitt Romney is a US Senator from Utah. 

He grew up in Michigan where his father was George Romney, once the top official at the automobile manufacturer that became American Motors.  

Although George went on to become Governor of Michigan and later considered running for president.  He served in the Nixon Administration.  

But at the same time, George came out of the then honorable moderate Republican school of politics which was very strong in Michigan.  He favored civil rights, etc.

I always say Mitt is no George.

And ironically, George Romney was the first American automobile executive to promote small cars over big in a systematic way ("When George Romney and Rambler took aim at the “dinosaurs”," Hagerty Media). 

George Romney with AMC cars.

So who knows, maybe George Romney would have been okay with electric bikes as an alternative to automobile dependency?  (Probably not, but we can "counterfactual.")

Mitt gets props on impeachment, but on virtually every other issue--including voter suppression--he is a solid vote for conservatives.

Recently, Mitt got some attention for coming out against tax credits for electric bikes ("Mitt Romney Trashes E-Bikes, Says Adding Bike Lanes Is the 'Height of Stupidity'," Bicycling).  From the article:

Business Insider reports Romney saying, “I’m not going to spend money on buying e-bikes for people like me who have bought them—they’re expensive. Removing automobile lanes to put in bike lanes is, in my opinion, the height of stupidity, it means more cars backing up, creating more emissions.”

Mitt Romney is committed to the car.  Photo: Bryan Mitchell, Getty Images.

For one, the E-BIKE Act specifically makes e-bikes far less expensive, and, for many trips, removes the need to drive cars at all. Also, the Act isn’t targeting folks like Romney—it’s intended largely for low-income Americans. The proposed E-BIKE Act would give Americans who earn up to $150,000, or up to $300,000 for joint tax filers, a refundable tax credit of 30% off the purchase of an e-bike, up to $1,500.

Mitt doesn't get that every trip not made by car cuts emissions even more!

Switching from a car to a bicycle has significant environmental benefits ("EVs are expensive. These city commuters ditched cars altogether — for e-bikes," NPR), while switching from a gasoline powered car to an electric car has some environmental benefits but doesn't challenge the sprawl land use paradigm nor does it promote sustainable mobility.

It's what I call "Next Generation Asphalt Nation."

At the same time, the Republican agenda is very much committed to fossil fuel production and use.  So this isn't a surprise.

But also it comes out of the idea that bicycles are toys, for recreation, and aren't viable methods for "real transportation."

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18 Comments:

At 2:32 PM, Blogger Richard Layman said...

https://www.inquirer.com/news/nation-world/cars-millennials-gen-z-climate-change-movies-songs-20230404.html

 
At 2:49 PM, Anonymous Anonymous said...

Gotta keep the base enraged.

 
At 4:13 PM, Blogger Richard Layman said...

I think it's more disdain, "l'etat c'est moi" kind of stuff. He isn't too connected wrt "the base" in the same way the rest of the Utah Congressional delegation is. I doubt he'll run for reelection. He's not MAGA enough.

Then again, the "sane" other members of the delegation, John Curtis and Blake Moore, are still pretty bad from a center standpoint, just like Mitt.

(The State Legislature is even worse. One of the most conservative, culture war, and preemption of local government focused State Legislatures out there.)

 
At 8:47 AM, Anonymous charlie said...

Don't know if you saw the Mitch documentary that ran a few years ago -- part of his humanization project.

Ending is Mitch pulling into the family compound at night in his GM SUV -- into something that looked like a 12 car garage.


 
At 11:44 AM, Blogger Richard Layman said...

I'll have to seek it out. But yep, Mitt is a product of the sprawl paradigm.

To be fair though I need to modify the entry. There is a kernal of truth in his point. But 1. Low income people aren't at the forefront of Innovation adoption. 2. Denver gives double the credit based on income. And promotes this to those demographics.

 
At 8:41 AM, Anonymous charlie said...

https://midlifecycling.blogspot.com/search/label/Mitt%20Romney?m=0

We are starting to see in DC what I would call e-mopeds. Very dangerous and a real threat.

I'd love a $1000 tax credit for an e-bike, but given that half of americans don't pay federal tax not sure how much it is going to move a needle on usage.

(See the new tax credit own used electric vehicles -- the way it is structured you can only get a 2021 Nissan Leaf)

I've calculated out my scooter prices -- given that they depreciate to zero, break or get stolen -- and it around 50 cents a mile. On a trip basis a lot cheaper ($2 a trip) but I the scooters only last 2-3 years before batteries fail or they fall apart. I only use it in the warm months as well which does change the math a bit. I was hoping to get to 1000 miles on the first scooter but it died around 900. Battery range had gone down from around 20 miles to around 8 as well.

Very weak battery management systems.

If you want "sustainable" it isn't e-bikes. Regular bikes are amazing on that.

 
At 10:40 AM, Blogger Richard Layman said...

For me personally an e bike is attractive because there is a monster hill coming back east from downtown. In my comments on the transportation plan I suggested cyclists be able to ride up the hill on light rail for free.

Wrt e bikes in cities. I've always said they are overkill. That a regular bike suffices. Although with age and kids that can change.

To me from a policy standpoint, besides aging and topography, e bikes are best for trying to get people to commute in that up to 10 mile range.

Wrt e mopeds (eg Revel) I think you should have to commit to a couple hours of safety training before you can ride. There have been deaths. Not sure in SF, where the first service was. And again SF can have some massive hills.

2. Wrt sustainability yep, scooters are the classic consumable. It's why I thought the idea of sharing as a business was unviable.

 
At 10:45 AM, Blogger Richard Layman said...

And you were right re covid. My one long term symptom is fatigue. A four to six mile bike ride, no hills, is my limit. When snow shoveling, I have to take breaks. So that could be an inducement to electric bikes.

They are a bit out if the way, but there are a couple of low hill routes back home.

 
At 11:30 AM, Anonymous charlie said...

Bad viral infections usually take about 6 months before you are 100%. Even a month or two out your are at 90, but it stalls there for months.. So there is an end path here. But it isn't fun. Good luck with it.

And yes, you're a great candidate for an e-bike, and I want prices to come down to reasonable levels. they are being overbuilt for speed and distance -- I'd like one with a replaceable batter with about 15 miles of range and minimal assist. There was a build your own review I saw somewhere on this.

RE: e-moped-- not revel e-scooters, but just jacked up e-bikes going at 35 MPG in a bike lane.

 
At 11:32 AM, Anonymous charlie said...

https://arstechnica.com/cars/2023/02/vanpowers-city-vanture-e-bike-review-sleek-streamlined-and-hard-to-define/


claimed to have failed to get up hill by the US Capital?

 
At 1:16 PM, Blogger Richard Layman said...

They probably mean Independence Avenue SE. That's steep. And pathetic if that bike can't make it up.

The hill here I am talking about is maybe 2.5x steeper. I've ridden it without stopping (harder in summer when it's so hot). But I've also made my peace with walking the last couple hundred feet.

Plus in general the elevation affects me. I ride slower per mile compared to DC.

There are a few dedicated e bike stores here. Trying to put it off as long as possible.

 
At 11:48 AM, Anonymous Charlie said...

Off topic


https://www.politico.com/interactives/2023/50-mayors-us-cities/crime/

 
At 4:01 PM, Anonymous charlie said...

also this:

https://on.ft.com/415394Q

 
At 7:54 PM, Blogger Richard Layman said...

Mayors Club interesting. Not necessarily scintillating. Maybe Peoria is ahead of the curve. Most of these solutions (outside of dealing with fentanyl) have been around.

I think it's really hard for government to consistently focus on things.

WRT "policing" I'm surprised no one said anything in a substantive way about redefining public safety although they did mention mental health and social workers.

Thx.

 
At 9:36 AM, Anonymous charlie said...

https://dccrimefacts.substack.com

New resource.

Very millennials -- very visual data, rather than just laying out a narrative.


 
At 11:57 AM, Blogger Richard Layman said...

Banking -- again, Jane Jacobs was right. Stacy Mitchell at Institute for Local Self Reliance has a great quote about SBA being good for making small businesses into big businesses.

Big banks aren't great for small business loans.

Crime -- interesting. I just read the first post. Good insights. Like at the beginning of blogdom.

Not that DC Government is likely to be interested in "outside analysis." They just want people to agree. Eg., my line is that officials see critical analysis as criticism, and criticism as personal.

But as a former elected official in PGC said to me once, "it's not a seminar. They already think they know what the agenda is and what to do, based on their winning office." It's definitely not iterative.

Thanks for the cites. Keeping sending them!

 
At 10:44 AM, Anonymous charlie said...

I tried posting this before on mobile; did not work but may show up later.

https://www.nplusonemag.com/online-only/online-only/the-road-to-auto-debt/

Like many of the horrors of debt (eviction, credit cards, medical debt and now this) it's all very over told.

Just for comparison:

about 50 million vehicles sold every year

Maybe 10 million are subprime.

Deliques are up, about 1.2 million.

So around 2% of auto loans go bad.

Now the larger point is that debt is a bad way to acquire a car. It's a depreciating asset. We've driven up the price (average of 49,000 new, 29,000 used) Bad way to live, I get it.

But we can finance it because 1) since 2008 most people pay their auto loan first; 2) mostly because the primary way to get the debt it to repo it. There is almost a lot of technology now to turn off your car until payment is made.

Out of those 1.2 bad loans, there are about 850,000 repos.

So, in the end, about 300,000 cases where you're going to go after the debtor for payment.

Out of those you maybe get 1 in 10 to pay something. You can't squeeze blood from a stone.

Lots of abuse in the lower end (between 30,000 and 300,000) but a lot less than article suggests. It's a pretty small problem.

 
At 9:43 PM, Blogger Richard Layman said...

Thanks for this. and...

https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2023-01-27/car-repossessions-grow-as-inflation-slams-consumers

I think what concerns me the most about this is (1) how high car prices are becoming and like with housing, how increasing proportions of the population are being priced out.

But most importantly (2) since our land use and transportation planning paradigm preferences automobile dependence, people who lose their cars are screwed, they can't really participate in the economy and it could precipitate a downward economic spiral for them.

 

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