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Saturday, October 09, 2021

Social urbanism and equity planning as a way to address crime, violence, and persistent poverty: (not in) DC

In 2013 I was on grand jury duty.  Each jury had a specialization--ours was drugs and guns mostly, but we still dealt with murders, assaults, and other violent crimes.  

The lesson after three months was that DC spends billions of dollars each year--police, emergency services, health and social services, criminal justice, education, etc., in the communities where crime is persistent--just to keep the neighborhoods and people within them at equilibrium/the same--not to improve.

So I started thinking even more about this.  I had been thinking about it plenty, but more in terms of addressing crime:

-- "Crime prevention through environmental design and repeated burglaries at the Naylor Gardens apartment complex," 2013
"The state of "broken windows" versus "problem oriented policing" strategies in 2016: Part 1, theory and practice," 2016
"The state of "broken windows" versus "problem oriented policing" strategies in 2016: Part 2, what to do," 2016

But that wasn't enough.  I had to consider equity planning ("An outline for integrated equity planning: concepts and programs," 2017, "Equity planning: an update," 2020), social urbanism ("Social urbanism and Baltimore," 2019). public investment in place ("Yes, public and nonprofit investments in the city spur further reinvestment and change: is this a bad thing or a complicated thing?," 2019, "Rethinking community planning around maintaining neighborhood civic assets and anchors," 2011) and more focused policing-community partnership initiatives ("Los Angeles police department "Community Safety Partnership"," 2014, expanded as "Creating 'community safety partnership neighborhood management programs as a management and mitigation strategy for public nuisances: Part 3 (like homeless shelters)," 2020).

And I realized that David Barth's concept of an "integrated public realm framework", which I thought about a lot in terms of both transportation and the conceptualization of civic assets as a network, was equally applicable to equity and community revitalization planning.


While I haven't ever combined these writings into a unified position paper, I did talk about it extensively with a campaign worker for Muriel Bowser in 2013 at September's 17th Street Festival when she was running for mayor.  (I talked with the policy analyst, Suzanne talked with Ms. Bowser.)

The recent two part set of articles on what an economic revitalization plan for St. Louis ought to look like goes a long way towards outlining such a concept in practical ways for a city overall or a city with areas of persistent poverty:

-- "St. Louis: what would I recommend for a comprehensive revitalization program? | Part 1: Overview and Theoretical Foundations," 2021
-- "St. Louis: what would I recommend for a comprehensive revitalization program? | Part 2: Implementation Approach and Levers," 2021

And wrt "East of the River" there are also these past pieces: 

-- "Wanted: A comprehensive plan for the "Anacostia River corridor"" 2012
-- "DC has a big "Garden Festival" opportunity in the Anacostia River," 2014
-- "Ordinary versus Extraordinary Planning around the rebuilding of the United Medical Center in Southeast Washington DC | Part One: Rearticulating the system of health and wellness care East of the River," 2018
-- "Schools #2: Successful school programs in low income communities and the failure of DC to respond similarly," 2019

(Another idea, not original to me, is to underground DC 295/I-295 ("DC and "city repair" of the urban grid," 2020).  

Photo from Interstate-Guide.

I also suggested when I was briefly affiliated with the now defunct Anacostia River Trust, to create a Trail/River Towns initiative, modeled after the Trail Towns and River Towns programs in Pennsylvania, for the River and the Anacostia River Trail, from DC to Greenbelt Maryland.)

There is a National Park Service map/brochure for the Anacostia River Trail (water and shared use).


My idea, being a place-based initiative, called for creating a "Deputy Mayor for East of the River" although parts of Ward 5, Ward 1, and to some extent Ward 4 have areas of persistent poverty and should've been included in such an initiative also.

(Some cities like Dallas, Charlotte, North Carolina, and Richmond, Virginia, and Toronto, Ontario have various initiatives that address poverty in focused ways, but definitely more broadly than an almost exclusive focus on jobs.)

I never heard from them again, but imagine my surprise to read about her adoption of this concept, uncredited, in a May 2014 article about the campaign in the New York Times.

When she was elected, she created a Deputy Mayor position, not place-focused as I proposed, but on achieving gainful employment, a "Deputy Mayor for Greater Economic Opportunity," with a focus on creating a "pathway to the middle class."

In contrast to what I proposed, the position wasn't focused on wide-scale community revitalization, more on employment and the Department of Employment Services.  

While this press release touts great success from the position, the reality is that the places of persistent poverty remain economic laggards and crime and the murder rate has increased in these communities.  (When the original appointee was replaced, Mayor Bowser appointed the director of the Department of Child and Family Services to co-hold the Deputy Mayor position, demonstrating the lack of a broader approach.)

Which is the point made today ("Press releases aren’t going to prevent gun violence in D.C.") by Washington Post columnist Colbert King.  He writes that Mayor Bowser keeps introducing initiatives and press releases, but crime keeps rising.  

And despite complaints by Bowser Administration officials that the criminal justice system (in DC, because the city is still overall under control of the federal government, adult crimes are prosecuted by a unit of the federal Department of Justice) is failing to prosecute the perpetrators of violent crimes, the fact is that's not the case, according to data presented in the article.

Reading the comments, I realized that had Mayor Bowser done something more along the lines of what I suggested, the creation of a wide-ranging community revitalization initiative on the scale of social urbanism initiatives like those in Medellin--which have reduced murders by about 90%--likely, even in the face of the pandemic, crime and murders would have dropped, neighborhoods and life circumstances and achievements would have improved.

-- "Experiments in Social Urbanism"
-- "'Social urbanism' experiment breathes new life into Colombia's Medellin Toronto Globe & Mail
-- "Medellín's 'social urbanism' a model for city transformation," Mail & Guardian
-- "Medellín slum gets giant outdoor escalator," Telegraph
-- "Medellín, Colombia offers an unlikely model for urban renaissance," Toronto Star

The problem is that most elected officials aren't particularly visionary--and we have to grant them recognition of the reality that multi-generational poverty is a problem that takes more than a couple of four-year terms as mayor can reverse--and they want to make ideas "their own" -- for example "Deputy Mayor of Greater Economic Opportunity" as opposed to "Deputy Mayor for East of the River" -- usually dumbing down the potential of the initiative in the process.

Or as I wrote in the conclusion of "Social urbanism and Baltimore":

Righting disorder is a process that never ends.  Medellin isn't perfect. The city still is wracked by violence ("Medellin's efforts against crime prove fleeting," Washington Post), but I think the point is that there is never a "state of rest." And in any case, going from 6,391 murders to less than 500 (at one point) is a significant accomplishment.


But it must be recognized that this is an ongoing process, because the forces of disorder are always present, and only by continued investments in public safety, education, and civic assets can the chaos be countered.

14 comments:

  1. Detroit Free Press: Detroit's Core City project revitalizes abandoned Detroit buildings, land.

    https://www.freep.com/story/money/business/michigan/2021/10/09/detroit-core-city-project-buildings-land/5952439001/

    ReplyDelete
  2. "Black Toronto neighbourhoods see more homicides but less support for victims’ family and friends, report finds"

    https://www.thestar.com/news/gta/2022/01/19/black-toronto-neighbourhoods-see-more-homicides-but-less-support-for-victims-family-and-friends-report-finds.html

    U of Toronto The Homicide Tracker
    ​2004 - 2020

    https://www.the-crib.org/homicide-tracker.html

    This map was developed to visually depict the devastating, disproportionate prevalence of
    homicide in predominantly African, Caribbean and Black (ACB) neighbourhoods throughout Toronto and illustrate the availability of resources designed to assist family ​members and friends of
    ​murdered victims in surviving the aftermath of unthinkable tragedy.

    Social Determinants of Homicide
    https://www.the-crib.org/social-determinants-of-homicide.html

    https://www.the-crib.org/uploads/1/2/9/6/129649149/social_determinants_of_homicide_011022.pdf (report)

    also a previous Star article:

    "Never-before-seen shootings data reveals the hyper-local toll of Toronto gun violence"

    https://www.thestar.com/news/gta/2021/06/03/never-before-seen-shootings-data-reveals-the-hyper-local-toll-of-toronto-gun-violence.html

    2. Victim advocates at Temple University Hospital, Philadelphia

    https://www.inquirer.com/opinion/a/trauma-victims-advocates-philadelphia-temple-university-hospital-20210805.html

    ReplyDelete
  3. Mayor’s crime fighting initiative, Building Blocks DC, is shifting its structure

    https://www.washingtonpost.com/dc-md-va/2022/02/21/crime-shootings-prevention-washington/

    The article includes a link to a report analyzing two years of homicides, finding that about 70% of the homicides were attributable to a few hundred people.

    ReplyDelete
  4. In this article it says that 82% of those surveyed believe more money should be spent improving impoverished neighborhoods.

    3 in 10 District residents do not feel safe in their neighborhoods, Post poll finds

    https://www.washingtonpost.com/dc-md-va/2022/02/25/police-poll-violence-dc/

    ReplyDelete
  5. https://www.washingtonpost.com/dc-md-va/2022/03/07/bowser-reelection-east-river

    "In D.C.’s poorest wards, Bowser touts advances as she courts a wary electorate"

    From the article:

    “Moving Big Projects Forward,” reads a headline in a 28-page taxpayer-funded brochure that Bowser recently sent to D.C. residents. The glossy mass mailing, festooned with more than a dozen photos of the mayor at various events, touts several Ward 7 and 8 developments, including construction of the “first full-service supermarket” to open east of the river since 2007. ...

    Yet, others complained that Bowser is too aloof and voiced the long-standing frustration that their communities do not receive as much attention as more affluent White neighborhoods. In The Post poll, the mayor’s approval rating in Wards 7 and 8 was lower than in any other part of the city.

    Chris Baker, 52, a project manager who lives in Congress Heights, said the development projects that Bowser trumpets do not alter his view that she is benefiting from plans forged before she became mayor.

    “She helped get it there, but she’s not innovative and she’s not a visionary,” said Baker, who described himself as an undecided voter. “I thought there would be massive changes on our side of the river when she came in, but I haven’t seen it.” ...

    On a brisk morning in early February, Bowser was at Marvin Gaye Park in Ward 7, surrounded by police officials as she and Prince George’s County Executive Angela D. Alsobrooks (D) announced a new anti-crime initiative to counter a surge in carjackings.

    When the mayor took questions, Mandla Deskins, 35, a neighborhood resident, asked about a nearby playground “that is completely falling apart,” a place near where he said there had been a fatal shooting last summer.

    The disrepair, he told the mayor, represents the city’s “failure” to provide “the most basic things.”

    “What can we look forward to from your office as far as addressing, of course, the playground itself but also the surrounding community?” he asked.

    “We are very engaged in this community, I think you know,” the mayor replied, before promising to “take a look at the park.”

    =====
    I didn't get into the weeds on the concept, but the first thing should have been an asset mapping for the impoverished areas, and a rating program for physical condition and range of programs and offerings to effectuate necessary improvements.

    http://healthpolicy.ucla.edu/programs/health-data/trainings/documents/tw_cba20.pdf

    But also community asset mapping along the lines of the ABCD Institute. Etc.

    ReplyDelete
  6. D.C. leaders discuss keeping teens out of crime, and victimhood

    https://www.washingtonpost.com/dc-md-va/2023/01/14/dc-youth-violence-forum/

    ReplyDelete
  7. Agnes Meyer’s portrait of 1963 D.C. was unsparing. It still rings true.

    https://www.washingtonpost.com/opinions/2023/03/03/agnes-meyer-washington-dc-crime-poverty/

    ReplyDelete
  8. https://apps.bostonglobe.com/opinion/ideas/graphics/2023/03/uphams-corner-development/

    "The neighborhood that got it right"

    https://www.brookings.edu/wp-content/uploads/2022/09/Indicators-of-inclusive-prosperity_final2.pdf

    "REDUCING POVERTY WITHOUT COMMUNITY DISPLACEMENT:
    INDICATORS OF INCLUSIVE PROSPERITY IN U.S.
    NEIGHBORHOODS"

    The optimum fate for low-income neighborhoods of color, then, is poverty reduction without displacement. And the Common Good researchers identified 193 neighborhoods in metropolitan America that have pulled off the feat in the last couple of decades.

    Each started with 30 percent of residents or more living below the federal poverty line in 2000. And each was able to slash that poverty rate by 10 percentage points or more by 2015 — say, from 35 to 25 percent — without a significant decline in any of the racial groups that were present at the start.

    That means the low-income people of color who lived in the neighborhood grew wealthier. Or more middle-class Black and Latino families moved in. Or it may have been a bit of both. Whatever the change, it made for a more vibrant, mixed-income, stable neighborhood.

    The researchers used a pattern-recognition algorithm to identify what these places have in common, and they landed on eight factors. None does much on its own. But if a large number of them are present, the neighborhood is significantly more likely to thrive.

    Three of the factors are external.

    (1) One is economic growth in the surrounding metropolitan region; low-income people tend to work in service sectors like retail and hospitality and are especially sensitive to the state of the local economy.

    (2) Low homicide rates in the county matter, too — likely because violent crime can be a significant source of anxiety for young people, crimping their academic performance and knocking them off track.

    (3) The third factor is low risk of displacement in nearby areas; a high-poverty census tract that abuts one with large numbers of 25- to 34-year-olds earning $100,000 or more is more likely to gentrify.

    Researchers identified five internal factors, too:

    (4) higher rates of home ownership (ownership builds wealth);

    (5) lower vacancy rates (vacancy is associated with crimes like burglary and arson);

    (6) higher rates of self-employment (entrepreneurship can be a path to mobility and set an example for younger people);

    (7) increases in housing density in the decade leading up to the study period (more units mean low-income people have a place to live even as higher-income people move into the neighborhood);

    (8)and the presence of community-building organizations (which can put up housing and strengthen social ties).

    The indicators are no guarantee of success. Just 17 percent of high-poverty neighborhoods with all three external factors and at least four of the internal factors managed to develop without displacement.

    But these places had a distinct advantage over other poor neighborhoods; they were 3.7 times more likely to achieve the desired state.

    =====
    People in the late 1970s created a CDC to revive housing in the neighborhood.

    Basically, it's having people with income, in a weak market submarket where the metropolitan economy is growing. Immigrants helped. But the low income nature of the area kept people with choices from moving there. The neighborhood hadn't been integrated into what I call the metropolitan landscape of desirable neighborhoods.

    ReplyDelete
  9. https://www.bostonglobe.com/2023/03/23/business/black-leaders-are-developing-nubian-square-can-they-revitalize-economic-heart-black-boston

    "Black leaders are developing Nubian Square. Can they revitalize the economic heart of Black Boston?"

    Taylor is one of the most prominent Black developers in Boston. With his partners, he is bringing an ambitious project dubbed Nubian Square Ascends to the neighborhood, which was renamed in 2019. It is a 97,000-square-foot, $120 million endeavor — financed in part by equity crowdfunding from local residents — that will sit on the city-owned Blair Lot. The development will include 15 condo units for artists, a life sciences training center, a 300-space parking lot, a performance hall, and a food market.

    The Globe recently spoke with 10 leaders involved in redeveloping Nubian Square, most of them Black and with longstanding ties to the community. They believe there’s an opportunity to restore the square to its former glory in the first half of the 20th century, when it was Boston’s second-most-popular commercial destination, behind downtown. They also hope to attract tourists and patrons from Greater Boston, while improving the neighborhood’s economy for residents.

    But there are complications to this rebirth. Namely, whether a balance can be struck between the need to bring in outside capital and the initiative to build wealth among the low-income population of Nubian Square, with sensitivity to the redevelopment history of the neighborhood, where other attempts at revitalization have fizzled.

    ReplyDelete
  10. On Mexico’s Border, an Architect Takes Small Steps to the Future

    https://www.nytimes.com/2024/03/01/arts/design/mexico-border-architecture-canales.html

    social urbanism initiative in Mexico

    ReplyDelete
  11. Our children are killing each other, and all of us must do something about it

    https://www.inquirer.com/opinion/commentary/philadelphia-school-bus-stop-shooting-septa-20240312.html

    Gun violence is a symptom, not the cause. Systemic issues that plague our city and nation, combined with the easy access to guns, are at the root. Generations of divestment, lack of social programming and equitable funding, and intergenerational trauma are presenting themselves through this violence among our youth. If you have no connection to district schools recently, you would not recognize what has become of them since the pandemic: the violence, the mental health, the hopelessness. It’s unbelievable and heartbreaking. Our children deserve better and it’s our responsibility to provide it.

    What skills do you have that could help our most vulnerable citizens to lead productive lives, instead of becoming shooters, victims, and those who aid fugitives?

    Do you have time to volunteer with our youth, to show them that there is hope and that life can be good? Everyone must make the time. We can’t afford not to.

    Become a mentor, teach at-risk kids whatever skills you know, give them hope for a path forward. Volunteer in the arts, libraries, or athletics. There are children in elementary school with no access to books at home. Can you fix that? Teach adults how to read with literacy organizations. Go into prisons and help with GED programs which will curb recidivism. Plant trees and gardens. Tree canopy is directly linked to criminal activity; the more trees and green spaces there are in a neighborhood, the less crime occurs. The opportunities are endless.

    Everyone has something to offer. Gun violence will continue to keep us in a chokehold until everyone gets in the game and fights.

    ReplyDelete
  12. REASSESSING “TOWARD A THEORY OF RACE, CRIME, AND URBAN INEQUALITY”
    Enduring and New Challenges in 21st Century America

    Du Bois Review: Social Science Research on Race

    In “Toward a Theory of Race, Crime, and Urban Inequality,” Sampson and Wilson (1995) argued that racial disparities in violent crime are attributable in large part to the persistent structural disadvantages that are disproportionately concentrated in African American communities. They also argued that the ultimate causes of crime were similar for both Whites and Blacks, leading to what has been labeled the thesis of “racial invariance.” In light of the large scale social changes of the past two decades and the renewed political salience of race and crime in the United States, this paper reassesses and updates evidence evaluating the theory. In so doing, we clarify key concepts from the original thesis, delineate the proper context of validation, and address new challenges. Overall, we find that the accumulated empirical evidence provides broad but qualified support for the theoretical claims. We conclude by charting a dual path forward: an agenda for future research on the linkages between race and crime, and policy recommendations that align with the theory’s emphasis on neighborhood level structural forces but with causal space for cultural factors.

    ReplyDelete
  13. https://www.washingtonpost.com/opinions/2021/03/16/black-neighborhoods-parks-safety

    If Black lives really matter, we must invest in Black neighborhoods

    As a nation, we have made a choice to largely ignore what the evidence says about creating safe neighborhoods. We have declined to fund place-based interventions, such as parks and trees, that actually work to protect citizens. And through our inaction, we have decided that Black lives do not, in fact, matter as much as White ones.

    Urban gun violence disproportionately affects segregated Black neighborhoods marked by concentrated disadvantage. Over time, a lack of investment into neighborhoods’ physical infrastructure has led to a crumbling housing stock, blighted spaces, and a dearth of green space such a trees and parks. These conditions trace to legacies of state-sanctioned structural racism such as redlining, as well as other long-standing and ongoing discriminatory real estate and bank lending practices.

    More recently, mass incarceration extracts resources and talent from Black communities, and an on-the-ground police surveillance state feeds prisons with bodies. The inevitable results — entrenched poverty, lack of economic opportunity, underfunded and failing public schools, and deteriorating neighborhood environments — are the root causes of gun violence.

    Reimagining safety means making intentional decisions to address the root causes of gun violence through policy changes and financial investment in Black people and Black neighborhoods. One promising opportunity is to reallocate dollars from expansive police budgets — which make up the largest budget item in most big cities — to evidence-based non-police interventions. Place-based initiatives — including restorative natural outdoor spaces — should be at the top of the list.

    ReplyDelete
  14. https://www.bostonglobe.com/2024/06/13/magazine/teach-entrepreneurship-to-close-the-wealth-gap/

    For POC

    ReplyDelete