Rents are rising everywhere: with continued supply-demand mismatch, shouldn't renter protections be universal?
The Washington Post has an interactive map where you can see the average rent increase for every county in the US ("Rents are rising everywhere. See how much prices are up in your area").
The media are replete with reports on housing rent increases ("Lack of new construction and corporate landlords contributing to skyrocketing rent," CBS "60 Minutes," "Rent jumped 17% since last year, hitting a new record," CNN, "Rents skyrocket near MBTA stops, new report finds," Boston Globe, "Rents Are Roaring Back in New York City," New York Times), including one instance of a rent increase from year to year of over 100% (" 'Coral Gables Woman Hit With 106% Rent Increase After Property Sold To New Landlord: ‘I Couldn’t Believe It'," ).
Apparently, New Orleanians pay upwards of 60% of household income on rent, and average rent increases are 20%+ ("As rents soar in New Orleans area, friction between tenants, landlords increases," New Orleans Times-Picayune), while some communities face high rates of eviction ("Maryvale is home to rising rents — and many of Phoenix's top evicting apartment complexes," Arizona Republic).
The Post has an article, "Stop blaming millennials for the housing crisis." Who ever said that millennials are the cause of housing price appreciation? While others believe they will be permanently priced out of owning a house ("Renters are growing pessimistic they will ever own a home as prices keep rising," CNN).
Forbes argues that the supply problem is partly a function of a rise of single person households, which they surmise will drop as people take on roommates to reduce housing cost ("Rising Home Prices And Apartment Rents Will End Soon: The Mystery Of The Missing Roommate").
With the supply-demand mismatch not likely to be slackened anytime soon, all places need some form of renter protections.
For example, Connecticut has created "fair rent commissions" ("As rents rise, Connecticut legislators vote to mandate fair rent commissions in some towns," Hartford Courant). From the article:
At a time of rising rents, Connecticut legislators voted late Wednesday night to mandate fair rent commissions for all communities with more than 25,000 residents. Currently, the commissions are voluntary, and 24 municipalities statewide already have them, legislators said. The total under the bill would be expanded to 45 communities.
Democrats said the mandatory commissions are needed now to help renters around the state at a time when many rents are increasing as the coronavirus pandemic continues.
The commissions would have the power to investigate complaints about rents, convene public hearings, issue subpoenas to force people to appear, and eventually force landlords to lower rents under certain circumstances. The commissions can be created in each municipality through action by the local city council or board of selectmen by July 1, 2023.
Tampa is proposing a 60-day notice for rent increases, but not a cap ("Tampa City Council proposes 60-day notice requirement for rental increases," NewsChannel8).
But more should be done. I argue in part that controls in rent are justified because limits on housing production create the stage for extranormal rents.
From the previous entry "City Rising PBS SoCal series on gentrification":
1. Most legacy cities were built out by the 1930s, but since then the nation's population has increased by 1.5x. (And communities built out after WWII tend to be built much less densely compared to earlier periods, further restricting housing supply.)
2. Residents typically fight new development. Even when new supply is added, typically it's high priced because it's built at today's prices for land, labor, and materials. And because even with new additions to supply, demand is still unmet, prices for housing don't go down.
3. So prices rise.
4. More people want to live in the city, which further drives demand. And ultimately, people with more money are always able to outbid people with less money. This raises prices and in later stages of change, pushes displacement. (Usually in earlier stages of neighborhood change, buildings taken by new residents tended to be vacant, so displacement wasn't an issue.)
5. Since supply is constrained, it's reasonable to put in rent controls and tenant protections. When demand is greater than supply, desperate people can be taken advantage of by unscrupulous property owners.
6. But in return for rent controls, residents must agree to new construction of housing--market rate, accessory dwelling units, infill apartments, etc.
7. To preserve affordability, governments need to be proactive in terms of purchasing properties, fostering land trusts, cooperatives, and other land tenure forms which prioritize maintaining affordability rather than price escalation.
8. Ideally, priority for reuse of government-owned land should be 100% affordability, while balancing revitalization and other goals.
9. Regardless, master planning should include specific planning for "social housing" and allocate lots within the master plan to social housing providers. (Helsinki does this. Vienna does a form of this.)
Labels: affordable housing, gentrification/displacement, Growth Machine, housing market, housing policy, public/social housing, real estate development, tenant-landlord relations
37 Comments:
The New York Times: First-Time Home Buyers Are Getting Squeezed Out by Investors and Corporations.
https://www.nytimes.com/2022/04/23/us/corporate-real-estate-investors-housing-market.html
Uff, a lot here.
Some of the links/comments sent off landmines here, but I'll just outline those then move to your main argument, which is interesting.
1. First, rent prices aren't going up "everywhere". You're seeing rental increases in even former weak markets. But there is a clear urban/exurban divide here. Cities continue to lose population, vacancy rates up. Arlington and DC up 1%, rest of the metro area up 10%.
2. Millenials are to blame. They are, and have been for the past few years, the largest group of buyers and renters. There is a to pack there - the oped is not helpful -- but the marginal buyer is who gets to set the price.
3. Again, we can argue if this is supply side or demand side (it's both!) but very clear on the demand side people are willing to use low rates to buy what they want -- SFH with a yard. That is not urban, multifamily living. ON the renting side the burden is on the poor and the young (who are not millennial anymore).
https://www.city-journal.org/australia-economy-middle-class
I know you hate the guy but he has some points.
Now on rental control.
Basically, I'd agree with you. Clearly this is a disruptive period and some form of rent control would be good.
The problem is this isn't a tap that can be controlled. The cure for high prices is high prices -- and that is what is going to create investment. So in two years rent control would NOT be a good idea, and you can't repeal it.
Per Kotkin, urbanists need to admit we've had a massive misallocation of housing investment in the past 10 years and that we need to focus more on original tenets of New Urbanisms rather than putting more investment into multifamily.
Going back to the "blame" that is what the milleaniials want now, and that is where the marginal buyer is.
Final point -- this is exactly what MMT and proponents of free money want. Throw $5 trillion at the the US consumer and things get more expensive.
Low income shouldn’t mean no standards for landlords
https://www.washingtonpost.com/opinions/2022/04/25/low-income-shouldnt-mean-no-standards-landlords/
What do you mean about Kotkin/new urban tenets? Any cites? I still think the biggest problem is places are mostly built out, for a lower population.
What I meant by millennial not being at fault is that we should have expected greater demand as new demographic segments enter the market, and responded accordingly.
High prices don't necessarily mean more production because of zoning and other restrictions. Plus the market doesn't incentivize for lower cost housing, especially given the high upfront costs of permitting.
But I see your point.
I didn't mention mortgage rates. But I remember almost 10% being the rate in the late 1980s, and it was 17% in the late 1970s. So I don't get the hand wringing.
And I wonder why DC and Arlington are outliers?
2. What's your sense about crime in the city?
I agree about mortgage rates. CS came out today and said we are in for major recession; 6% fed rate maybe 8-9% mortgage rates.
I think the long term trend is around 6 for most of the post war period.
An issues is smaller down payments (mandatory 20% back in 1975, so you only had to finance 80% vs financing 90 to 95 now). Also rates will bring prices down.
But if you believe this is a supply side problem, that cost of capital is going to choke off production. Much like the gasoline issue. Right now the best way to get cheap gas and lower inflation is lend more to a bunch of guys in texas at low rates.
Stagflation all over again. High interest rates, high unemployment, not much wage growth and inflation persists.
RE Crime in DC.
Homicide numbers down slight compared to 21, other violent crimes up.
My personal observation in Ward 1 is police have gone back to patrolling. I think that explains both numbers to an extent;; the violent crimes other than homicide were not being reported in 2021 (or acted on).
The damage of having no school for 2+ years continues as I am sure truacy is at an all time high. Again 16 year old don't usually kill but they do other stuff -- and starts you down a bad path.
Back on macro for a sec -- wages in real (versus nominal) are now below 2019. Inflation hurts badly.
Police have gone from zero interest in crime fighting to maybe 3 out of 10. The recent mayor effort to identify the high profile (maybe 500 people) who commit the bulk of murders is promising, but harder to do that you would think.
In the early 90s I subscribed to Chicago Magazine. There was an article about the most crime ridden parts of the city, and how about 3% of the criminals were responsible for a majority of the crime.
I haven't written about it, but I've been thinking about reacting to crime versus crime suppression as the function of a police department. We are so far away from the latter.
Another time I guest lectured at a UDC community college class on crime analysis, taught by an ex Deputy Chief. He said the intelligence function of the department was weak.
The Hill: Is the US housing market headed for a price correction?.
https://thehill.com/opinion/finance/3466071-is-the-us-housing-market-headed-for-a-price-correction/
Business Insider: A Kansas city voted unanimously to ban co-living rentals in some districts.
https://www.businessinsider.com/kansas-city-unanimously-ban-co-living-rental-units-roommates-illegal-2022-5
RE crime:
https://dcatlas.dcgis.dc.gov/crimecards/
9News.com KUSA: Here's how much Denver apartment rents rose in 1 year.
https://www.9news.com/article/money/markets/real-estate/apartment-rent-denver/73-50a1183e-fe5e-4bd6-b320-9c69907b4e31
Thanks for the link to the crime data. Even though the way it's presented isn't especially usefuL.
I don't think a two year period is particularly helpful. I remember back in the old PSA days of getting data by the month, with comparisons back a year or two, and year to date.
I did look up an article on murder rate by population and "the worse cities". DC is 13th, which is not good...
https://www.cbsnews.com/pictures/murder-map-deadliest-u-s-cities/
As you know that's somewhat localized though, occasionally punctuated by murders in atypical areas.
What I should have asked is how do you feel about crime in your area. Has crime seriously leaked out of "the bad areas" and can occur unexpectedly at any time, in the city outside of those areas?
I'd say that map is very accurate.
I'm right in the middle -- U st is now the crime capital of DC.
Am I afraid of being murdered? No.
is there constant violent and property crime now -- yes.
And probably higher since a lot of it is not being reported.
You can play with the crime cards to get a view on various timeframes and with various crimes. Murders still remain EOTR mostly.
I've discussed with friends that marijuana legalization has been a driver. I suspect a large chunk of murders are drug related as the grey market is, well, unclear and violence is taking place. Also driving while stoned is off the charts.
If you look at the charts they provide you can see it has been dropping since the fall. What you can see is homicides are still mostly EOTR.
Off topic -- car2go (ShareNOW) sold again to Free2Move, which wants to come back to the US. Now owned by Stellantis (Fiat-Chrysler) and came maybe make a go of it.
ABC4.com: This Utah city has the highest rental rates in the nation.
https://www.abc4.com/news/this-utah-city-has-the-highest-rental-rates-in-the-nation/
https://www.pbs.org/newshour/nation/in-california-tenants-of-a-mobile-home-park-try-but-fail-to-stop-a-corporate-takeover
BethesdaMagazine.com: 'I wanted to stay here' — Renters lament high cost of living in Montgomery County.
https://bethesdamagazine.com/bethesda-beat/real-estate/i-wanted-to-stay-here-the-high-cost-of-living-in-montgomery-county/
Like home buyers, renters now are facing bidding wars in a fiercely competitive market.
https://www.inquirer.com/real-estate/housing/rental-homes-philadelphia-bidding-wars-20220531.html
Skyrocketing Seattle-area rents leave tenants with no easy choices
https://www.seattletimes.com/business/real-estate/skyrocketing-seattle-area-rents-leave-tenants-with-no-easy-choices
8/14/2022
Why I couldn’t have been more wrong about big city rents
https://www.ft.com/content/6321c063-556a-4f14-a996-5b290af265bd
8/22/2022
That said, what is happening now isn’t just about people wanting to be in flashy capitals. In the UK, rents are on the rise in cities across the country from Brighton to Manchester and York. It is a nationwide trend in the US, as well.
On the demand side, one widespread phenomenon is that people decided they didn’t want to live so crammed together after the claustrophobia of lockdowns. Economists at the US Federal Reserve have noted that relatively fewer adults in the US are now living with roommates and more are living alone. The resulting rise in the number of households has contributed to the recent “huge increase” in housing demand, they say. ...
Meanwhile, supply has dropped. In many places, people are renting for longer than usual (perhaps because buying has become more expensive) which means fewer places coming on to the market at any given time. In the UK, landlord associations also say some people have sold up because of rising tax and regulation. Zoopla told me there are about 50 per cent fewer homes available for rent per lettings branch in London than there were between 2017 and 2021 and 30 per cent fewer in the rest of the country.
It’s possible that rents will soon hit the limit of what people can afford, given the wider cost of living crisis. Private renters spend an average 31 per cent of their household income on rent, compared with 27 per cent for social renters and 18 per cent for homeowners with mortgages. That means they have less flexibility to cope with rising energy costs. Alternatively, people might start sharing housing more with others again to cut their rent bills.
No more filtration?
"Curse of the renter: In some neighbourhoods, not owning a home now costs more than owning one"
Renters are now paying higher housing costs than owners in some part of the city, upending a long-standing trend, according to a Star analysis
https://www.thestar.com/news/gta/2022/09/28/curse-of-the-renter-in-some-neighbourhoods-not-owning-a-home-now-costs-more-than-owning-one.html
The concept of filtration presumes that older properties remain lower cost.
In today's economy properties are being priced as if they are new, regardless of condition, age, etc.
Yield maximization software platform allows property managers to raise rents in a focused fashion.
https://www.propublica.org/article/yieldstar-rent-increase-realpage-rent
"Rent Going Up? One Company’s Algorithm Could Be Why."
10/15/2022
"The Rent Revolution is Coming"
https://www.nytimes.com/2022/10/15/business/economy/rent-tenant-activism.html
Discusses tenant organizing and more vociferous protest in the face of rent increases, property conversions, etc. Focused on examples from Kansas City.
https://www.csmonitor.com/Business/2022/1110/The-rent-is-too-high.-After-historic-surge-is-relief-on-the-way
"The rent is too high. After historic surge, is relief on the way?"
‘Lawyer of the Day’ helps tenants facing eviction in 4 Pittsburgh District Courts
https://www.wesa.fm/courts-justice/2023-02-03/lawyer-of-the-day-helps-tenants-facing-eviction-in-4-pittsburgh-district-courts
They’re here as part of a legal assistance program known as “Lawyer of the Day,” funded mostly by Pittsburgh’s Housing Opportunity Fund through the Urban Redevelopment Authority. The program sends attorneys and social service navigators in person to four different Magisterial District Courts in the city.
In addition to District Judge Petite’s courtroom, which hears cases from the Hill District, Downtown, and parts of the Strip District, the program is also funding attorneys and social service workers in three other District Courts in the North Side and Homewood.
Having attorneys there in person is key, the program’s backers say; tenants in eviction cases typically don’t have lawyers representing them. (Because landlord-tenant cases are civil matters, poor defendants aren’t entitled to free legal representation, as defendants are in criminal cases.) A 2021 study by The Pittsburgh Foundation found that in almost all the landlord–tenant cases it studied, neither the landlord nor the tenant had legal representation. (The study found landlords won about 85% of cases; tenants won fewer than 2%, the remaining cases were mostly settled or withdrawn.)
Also crucial, however, is the pairing of the legal help with “navigators” from RentHelpPGH, who can explain to tenants what aid is available from various local social services to help them pay back rent they owe. (While millions of dollars in federal Covid-related rental aid is mostly gone, there is still some other assistance available for tenants on the verge of eviction.)
https://www.bostonglobe.com/2023/02/27/opinion/how-repair-rebuild-cracked-foundation-housing-justice/
How to repair and rebuild a cracked foundation for housing justice
There is no one silver bullet to help renters stay in their homes. It will take several strategies that give low-income renters power to stabilize neighborhoods and give poor people a fighting chance.
For decades, if not centuries, housing in Massachusetts communities has been defined by scarcity, exclusion, and an unwillingness to center policy in human needs. Redlining, racial covenants, underdevelopment of public transit, and prohibitions on common-sense protections for renters have compromised the foundation for a vibrant Commonwealth.
As stakeholders correct for years of inadequate and inequitable housing, we must do more than simply construct new roofs and walls. We need to legislate, produce, and preserve housing that responds to the varied needs in our neighborhoods. If we fail to do so, we will exacerbate displacement and racial segregation and further commodify our housing stock.
Today, Massachusetts’ average rents are about 50 percent higher than the national average and Boston is the second-most expensive US city to live in with average one-bedroom rents hovering around $3,000. Thousands of low-income renters who power our economy are pushed to the brink and home prices strain the limits of middle-class budgets. Even as racist and classist zoning laws have reduced opportunities for families to choose where they live, real estate speculation and price gouging have disrupted their lives.
Fortunately, opportunities exist for local and state leaders to build more equitable, diverse housing. Policy makers can guide communities with the resources and the responsibility we have to house every family. It isn’t enough just to build more housing near transit stops: every community needs to green-light multifamily housing, and the state must provide the resources to secure truly affordable development.
Given the choice, even communities that produce housing have been shown to reject affordability, allowing for new units to be overwhelmingly luxurious and unaffordable. The Commonwealth’s newest MBTA zoning policy — which mandates that cities and towns with access to public transportation allow more multifamily housing — should not only require more housing but should also establish baseline affordability goals for communities that lack inclusionary zoning, strengthen fair housing laws, and expand programs that secure long-term affordability. Massachusetts should give communities the ability to raise revenue through high-end real estate transfer fees that will finance the housing the state desperately needs.
There is no one silver bullet to help renters stay in their homes. It will take several strategies that give low-income renters power to stabilize neighborhoods and give poor people a fighting chance. Facing a displacement crisis, only made worse by the pandemic, renters need protection, predictability, and opportunities to participate in the real estate market. By enabling tenants’ first right to purchase their homes upon sale or foreclosure, funding statewide access to counsel programs, expanding the Massachusetts Rental Voucher Program, and preventing eviction without just cause, we can stem the tide that pushes communities apart. Some real estate interests have begun fearmongering, especially when discussing rent stabilization, without offering solutions short of removing all restrictions and building with reckless abandon. But that does not ensure people will be able to afford to live in the units, in fact it almost ensures that units sit empty and serve a portfolio for the superrich.
Caps on rent hikes test Montgomery’s appetite for tenant protections
https://www.washingtonpost.com/dc-md-va/2023/03/02/montgomery-rent-hike-caps/
An anti-rent-gouging bill that is part of the Tenant Assistance and Protection Package, backed by a majority of the County Council, would limit annual rent increases to 8 percent plus inflation. The competing Housing Opportunity Mobility and Equity Act would limit yearly rent increases to 3 percent or the county’s voluntary rent guidelines, whichever is lower.
The council’s dueling proposals pit tenants’ rights advocates against pro-growth Democrats who fear a cap that is too low could stunt the development of new housing stock and ultimately make the county’s housing affordability crisis worse.
“Yes, there have been extreme cases of people getting 15 to 20 percent rent increases, and those are crazy,” Fani-González said. “I want to focus on that and helping people in need.”
But advocates for renters are skeptical that developers will abandon the county if rent is stabilized, especially if the cap comes with an exception for new construction that allows landlords to raise rents freely, which both proposals include. Many jurisdictions with rent control have seen ongoing development, while some places without any tenant protections have seen housing blight and a lack of investment, said Matthew Losak, executive director of the Montgomery County Renters Alliance.
As the politicians debate where to put a cap, many renters say they are struggling.
Investors now own more than 50% of Toronto’s new condos — and experts say they’re driving up housing prices for everyone
How a heady mix of privatization, ineffective rent control and cheap capital fuelled an investment boom that made Toronto housing unaffordable for regular families
https://www.thestar.com/real-estate/investors-now-own-more-than-50-of-toronto-s-new-condos-and-experts-say-they/article_4b6d2ff0-c528-5670-937f-3d34d040ed85.html
https://archive.is/uI52v#selection-7295.0-7307.266
Universal rent control ends
The housing crisis wasn’t born overnight but began decades ago when government “got out of the housing business,” said Nemoy Lewis, assistant professor at the School of Urban and Regional Planning at the Toronto Metropolitan University.
“Because of this, the private market grew and filled the void of both levels of government — federal and provincial,” said Lewis, allowing non-traditional landlords such as private equity firms, Real Estate Investment Trusts (REITs), asset management firms, and public pension funds to claim a greater stake in the sector.
According to Lewis’s research, from 1995 to 2022 financialized landlords accounted for 65 per cent of all multi-family dwelling units transacted in Toronto, which “coincides with a drastic jump in real estate prices for apartments,” he said.
But in the late 1990s, a pivotal moment took place that created the perfect “breeding ground” for investors, Majid said.
In 1997, former premier Mike Harris passed Bill 96, which removed rent control for units first occupied after Nov. 1, 1991.
His government also instituted new regulations that unshackled landlords from unprofitable regulatory restraints in place since the mid-’70s. Under the change, landlords would be allowed to raise rents to match market rates whenever a tenant moved out. Previously, landlords had a limit on raising rent between tenancies.
“This is what created the foundation for investors,” said Majid.
“Vacancy decontrol attracted investors to get into the market. We have this perfect storm as we get a flatline in affordable housing being built, as well as the private sector not building enough, but demand continues to skyrocket, pushing up rents and home prices.”
https://www.seattletimes.com/opinion/editorials/pass-bill-limiting-rent-hikes-to-help-stabilize-households/
Pass bill limiting rent hikes to help stabilize households
2/21/24
About a third of Washingtonians are living as renters and many communities are facing an affordable housing crisis with frequent and sizable rent hikes. The Washington Legislature is poised to intervene to keep rent increases more manageable.
House Bill 2114 is not rent control. Rather it would limit how much a landlord could increase rent charges to 7% each year, still almost double the recent rates of inflation.
Also landlords would be required to give at least six months’ notice of any rent increase of more than 3% and would limit late fees to 1.5% of monthly rent.
Frequent high rent increases each year have forced some tenants out of their homes, creating revolving doors in some neighborhoods, according to testimony. Excessive increases force families to frequently relocate. Such moves add to instability for students who have to switch schools.
https://www.bostonglobe.com/2024/03/01/metro/right-to-counsel-pilot-program-boston-city-council-massachusetts
Mass. officials want lawyers for low-income renters facing eviction
https://www.nytimes.com/2024/01/25/realestate/rent-prices-housing.html
More Renters Than Ever Before Are Burdened by the Rent They Pay
A new Harvard report says 22.4 million households in the United States now spend more than 30 percent of their income in rent, with 12.1 million spending more than 50 percent.
Climate change threatens 41% of rental homes, report says
https://streetlightnews.org/climate-change-housing/
3/4/24
According to the study, 41% of occupied rental homes are in places with substantial climate change or weather risks, based on annual losses for such events as calculated by the Federal Emergency Management Agency (FEMA).
About 3.2 million units with rents below $600 are in at-risk areas, the report said.
“The supply of low-rent units has been falling in the last decade,” said Sophia Wedeen, research analyst for the Joint Center for Housing Studies. “So any losses from this will reduce the number of places that low-income renters can afford to live.”
This article is misleading. It's about the Hudson River Valley, which is basically part of the Greater NYC metro.
These small towns have a big-city problem: The rent is way too high
Boston Globe, 2/12/24
An intensifying housing crisis has gripped New York City and urban areas around the country, fueled by the rising costs of homeownership, surging rents, and limited housing stock. Now, some places that were long considered more affordable are contending with those same factors, as well as a pandemic-era influx of new residents and a boom in the number of houses being bought as second homes or listed on short-term rental platforms — putting them increasingly out of reach for renters.
People have long used Airbnb and other platforms to rent out cozy cottages or off-the-grid cabins in the bucolic region, but locals, government officials, and others who study housing in the area said the number of short-term rentals appears to have skyrocketed in recent years. In June 2022, for example, there were 2,587 short-term rentals available in Ulster County, more than anywhere else in the Hudson Valley, according to an audit by the county comptroller, and they made up 12 percent of the county’s rental stock. In Greene County, such listings accounted for 45 percent of the rental stock, according to the audit. (An Airbnb spokesperson declined to provide detailed company data about short-term rental listings in the region but disputed that any increase in listings had significantly affected the availability of affordable housing.)
https://archive.is/quCDo#selection-1625.0-1625.67
Why NYC Apartment Buildings Are on Sale Now for 50% Off
Tougher rent control, returning worldwide, destroys $75 billion in property value. Cash-strapped tenants cheer as they maintain a foothold in the city.
https://www.bloomberg.com/news/features/2024-02-05/nyc-apartments-go-on-sale-for-50-off-due-to-tougher-rent-control
For this well-situated apartment on West 164th Street in Washington Heights, the quickly gentrifying Dominican enclave immortalized in a Lin-Manuel Miranda musical, he can charge no more than $650 a month, perhaps a quarter of the market rate.
For landlords the playbook had long been simple and lucrative. Buy run-down buildings that are, in New York lingo, rent-stabilized. Fix them up. Pass along the expense to tenants by raising rents, which was allowed under the regulations. Cash out. Repeat. Once rents approached $2,800 a month, owners could charge what the market would bear, and the apartments became a potential gold mine. “You just had to be patient,” Peterson says.
But his bet on raising rents has gone disastrously bad, as it has for landlords across the city. In 2019, alarmed about the decline in affordable housing, New York state lawmakers rewrote the rules. In one key change they sharply reduced how much landlords could raise rents after renovations. In an even more important shift, the apartments no longer leave the program when rents rise high enough.
Peterson—who’s bought more than 40 properties for $300 million over 20 years—is now in distress. He’s falling behind on his mortgages and scrambling to find money for repairs. In October, Fannie Mae, the government-backed home loan company, started foreclosure proceedings against a dozen of his properties, including the building on 164th Street. “My career is over,” Peterson says. “Now it’s just a question of: What’s my legacy going to be? Is it going to be that I abandoned the ship when it was sinking, or that I stayed and fought?”
Last year, New York buildings with at least one rent-stabilized apartment sold on average for $203,000 a unit, down 34% since 2019, according to Maverick Real Estate Partners, a New York investment manager. By contrast, the price of nonregulated apartments rose 23%.
But Chris Herbert, managing director of Harvard University’s Joint Center for Housing Studies, says the market is failing renters. In classical economics, rising prices should be leading to more construction and moderating rents. But scarce land in attractive cities and zoning rules cause persistent shortages. In this environment, Herbert says, milder rent control, such as tying increases to inflation, could be a compromise.
New York’s history shows the ebb and flow of rent regulation amid shifts in the relative power of landlords and tenants. Two-thirds of the city’s residents rent their homes, double the nationwide rate, giving tenants greater political sway than in much of the US. New York’s efforts have roots in 19th century attempts to improve the lot of immigrants crowded into dilapidated tenements.
New York has had some form of rent regulation since 1943, when the federal government imposed price controls to combat inflation during World War II. A
Comptroller calls BS on rent-stabilized owners, says they are doing fine
https://therealdeal.com/new-york/2024/03/15/comptroller-report-shows-no-rent-stabilized-vacancy-problem/
Rent control is an essential way to keep housing affordable
https://www.washingtonpost.com/opinions/2024/03/15/rent-control-housing-affordability-landlords/
https://www.nytimes.com/2024/02/23/us/rent-cap-states-washington.html
A New ‘Holy Grail’ in the Housing Crisis: Statewide Rent Caps
Ms. Horn is one of thousands of Washington residents who have converged in recent weeks on Olympia, the state capital, to lobby legislators about one of the most closely watched housing bills in the country: A measure that would cap residential rent increases at 7 percent a year.
Deemed a priority by the Democratic leaders who control the State Legislature, the bill has cleared the House of Representatives and is now in the Senate. If it is enacted, Washington would become the third state in the country to adopt statewide rent regulations, after Oregon and California — and all within the last five years.
From coast to coast, housing has emerged as perhaps the biggest statehouse issue this year. The number of households considered by the federal government to be rent-burdened — meaning that rent consumes more than 30 percent of their income — climbed to a record high of 22.4 million in 2022, according to a new report from the Joint Center for Housing Studies at Harvard University.
Rent regulations have historically been adopted by municipalities rather than states. New York City’s system covers 2 million people — almost a quarter of the population. San Francisco and Los Angeles — and more recently, St. Paul, Minn., and Montgomery County, Md. — are among the 200 local governments that regulate rents.
The Washington bill would apply only to lease renewals; landlords would be allowed to increase rents at will when leasing to a new tenant. To avoid discouraging construction, the restrictions would not apply for the first 10 years that a building is occupied, according to State Representative Emily Alvarado, the bill’s prime sponsor.
Post a Comment
<< Home