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Friday, July 09, 2021

Maps showing Covid deaths associated with the failure to vaccinate and the decline of the Christian Right


CDC, July 2, 2021


I don't have much empathy for people who don't want the vaccine (cf., "Heidi Larson, Vaccine Anthropologist," New Yorker).  Given that greater than 95% of the deaths and hospitalizations from covid now are amongst the unvaccinated, I can't think of a stronger message or indicator of the "self help" benefits of vaccination.

Although I do have a newer appreciation for people saying they won't get vaccinated because it was developed so fast.  I am participating in a Phase 3 vaccine trial for another disease, and the Phase 3 period for the study is three years.  That being said, the technology and science of the successful covid vaccines have been in development for many years, so it's not as simple as "you need a lot of time."

I wasn't really understanding the hoax stuff either (e.g., "South Dakota nurse says some patients deny COVID-19 is real, even as they die from it," Nexstar, and "Their neighbors called covid-19 a hoax. Can these ICU nurses forgive them?," Washington Post), but a piece by NYT columnist Michelle Goldberg, "The Christian Right Is in Decline, and It’s Taking America With It," has given me a lot of insight into this.

I was reading a different article ("A horn-wearing ‘shaman.’ A cowboy evangelist. For some, the Capitol attack was a kind of Christian revolt," Post) which equated the right wing religious fervor around Trump, Qanon, etc. as an indicator of a time of religious fervence, not unlike the period where "new" religions like Mormonism were created in the 1830s.   From the article:

Many forces contributed to the attack on the Capitol, including Trump’s false claims of electoral victory and American anger with institutions. But part of the mix, say experts on American religion, is the fact that the country is in a period when institutional religion is breaking apart, becoming more individualized and more disconnected from denominations, theological credentials and oversight. 

That has created room for what Yale University sociologist Phil Gorski calls a religious “melee, a free for all.” 

“There have been these periods of breakdowns and ferment and reinvention in the past, and every indication is we’re in the middle of one of those now,” he said. “Such moments are periods of opportunity and creativity but also of danger and violence.” 

Some scholars see this era as a spiritually fertile period, like the ones that produced Pentecostalism or Mormonism. Others worry about religious illiteracy and the lack of supervision over everything from theological pronouncements to financial practices.

The Goldberg piece extends this thinking and it reminded me of a pretty insightful paper I wrote as a sophomore in college, comparing the rise of hasidism in Poland in the 1600s in response to pogroms with how the Islam religion remained the one area that opponents to the Shah of Iran could organize within in.  The only major social or cultural institution that the Shah had not challenged was religion, making it a vehicle for change and challenge against the state.  Like how hasidism was more fantastical, Islam in Iran became more forceful, angry, and zealotric.

Evangelical Christianity is on the decline according to research cited by Goldberg.  She contrasts that to the relatively recent time, during the Bush Administration, when it was at its height, and the reaction to social and cultural changes challenging traditional forms of religion has been deep.

At the same time, plenty of people are maintaining their religiosity but disconnecting from more traditional church institutions, removing "guardrails" and peer pressure that can influence their behavior.  From the Post:

Pauline Bauer, Stephen Baker and Jenna Ryan were among the thousands who descended on the Capitol in protest of what they falsely called a stolen election, including some who saw themselves engaged in a spiritual war. For many, their religious beliefs were not tied to any specific church or denomination — leaders of major denominations and megachurches, and even President Donald Trump’s faith advisers, were absent that day. For such people, their faith is individualistic, largely free of structures, rules or the approval of clergy.

Vaccination is just one more element caught up in the decline of the Christian right.

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14 Comments:

At 7:56 PM, Blogger Richard Layman said...

Salon: What the media gets wrong about red-state vaccine hesitancy.
https://www.salon.com/2021/07/09/what-the-media-gets-wrong-about-red-state-vaccine-hesitancy_partner/

 
At 10:19 AM, Blogger Richard Layman said...

It's worse than I thought.

The Washington Post: At Mercy Culture, the nations fastest-growing Christian movement is openly political and central to Trump's GOP.
https://www.washingtonpost.com/nation/2021/07/11/mercy-culture-church/

 
At 11:14 AM, Anonymous charlie said...

slightly different take:

https://nymag.com/intelligencer/2021/07/the-kids-were-safe-from-covid-the-whole-time.html?utm_source=flipboard.com&utm_medium=social_acct&utm_campaign=feed-part

No desire to start a vaccine fight. I'd just suggest as a policy measure it's time to end extra unemployment benefits, take away free vaccines, and most importantly take away free covid treatment -- i.e. if you're insured you're fine but if not that is on you. That is the no sympathy approach.

Found a decent twitter thread on what the right wing thinks right now, which broadly corresponds to right wing vaccine hesitancy. I'll see if I can track it down, very ephermal this twitter thing.

That said I don't know many 75+ republicans who are avoiding the vaccine.


(And yes, we're on a new great awakening as the old gods die)

 
At 1:05 PM, Anonymous charlie said...

https://twitter.com/martyrmade/status/1413165168956088321


Another alternative is there are a lot more people buying into conspiracy theory/Q because the republican political project has turned very backwards looking.


Also this:

https://richardhanania.substack.com/p/woke-institutions-is-just-civil-rights

 
At 1:20 PM, Blogger Richard Layman said...

Hmm. Sure can end extra benefits. Bad that the various SBA programs haven't worked very well for small businesses. When Suzanne was in Seattle a few weeks ago she said many businesses were still closed.

Not sure to handle the housing issue. (We haven't increased the rent on our place as an incentive to stay. So far it's working, at least through next year. But we were fortunate they didn't have any problems paying rent.)

I say keep the vaccine free but eliminate free covid care for the unvaccinated.

Wrt "what's going on?" (Channeling Marvin Gaye.) Did you read the story about the Mercy Care church in Houston? It's sort of oppositional to the Rubin column, that many young people are embracing nondenominational evangelical religion and institutions.

 
At 1:21 PM, Blogger Richard Layman said...

Surveillance Capitalism https://g.co/kgs/TNY7Zm

 
At 1:47 PM, Anonymous charlie said...

yes that mercy church article was something.

We talked a few years about about the "Christian identity" and it goes to your point about cultural revolution.

You remember the "strong towns" and resiliency?

One problem I had with them is that in order to push a smart growth agenda they neglected that unattainable growth has been the history of the US since 1605. Constant series of overgrowth and then collapse and then rebuild and then overgrowth.

https://www.theatlantic.com/politics/archive/2016/10/how-democrats-killed-their-populist-soul/504710/

 
At 2:14 PM, Blogger Richard Layman said...

Will read. My response to all the Tea Party complaints about Obama "socializing" the economy was that the government was doing the standard response to a textbook example of a Marxist capitalist crisis.

 
At 12:43 PM, Blogger Richard Layman said...

https://www.inquirer.com/opinion/why-americans-wont-get-vaccinated-trump-states-20210708.html

Will Bunch, opinion columnist for the Philadelphia Inquirer, is very good.

 
At 1:23 PM, Blogger Richard Layman said...

WRT the Atlantic article. Thank you! The discussion of Wright Patman is another good explication of the kind of politics brought about by the Depression. As you pointed out it was about moving capital to the South and West. But it was also about creating institutions that could compete with economic power and concentration.

1. Technocracy and "neoliberalism" (though the word hadn't been coined) versus _economic_ populism. The one missed point in the article was to not pair the two words. Because now populism means something a lot different, basically anti-government wrapped up in a pro-plutocracy culture war.

... and I need to read that Rothenberg book. (Or just the article maybe.)

2. Antiregulation which leads into corporate power, bigness, denigration of government, belief in the market as the only meaningful mechanism, economically and socially.

3. WRT "the housing and urban crisis" I was talking with Suzanne about how a bunch of things have come to a head: peak gun; housing costs which mean a lot of people on the margins no longer can afford a place to live and are on the streets; the supply crisis more generally, stoked by population increase, household size decrease, single households, and s.f./person signficantly increasing.

I think Simon Wren-Lewis referred to "neoliberal overreach" in at least one of his posts. That's where we are with politics, governance, the Republicans, and corporate concentration and power, abetted by eliminations of restrictions within the Voting Rights Act, Citizens United, and the structural problems presented by the Senate's small state bias and the Electoral College process versus the vote unencumbered by state boundaries.

4. We have a revival of the Watergate baby generational shift with the progressive left, from the Justice Democrats to BLM and Defund the Police.

I was a bit pissed when the leader of Utah BLM said anyone who flies the flag is a racist. Or the Olympian who said she was blindsided when the Star Spangled Banner played while she was on the dais.

I know that the US is far from perfect. But those symbols have been hijacked by racists etc., who don't own those symbols.

(I've read some interviews with the UT BLM leader and she is amazing, but we disagree on this and on the value of order -- "Property and what happens doesn't rate when police are killing people.")

More than 15 years ago, I did an interview when Smart Growth America published an e-letter still, and I made the point that sprawl is generated in part by people who don't want to take the time and energy to help improve their communities as they inevitably decline. Instead of participating, they just move (farther) out.

5. WRT the stuff on Clinton. I was doing tv programs on IT then, and one person asked me about the impact of the Telecommunications Reform Act. While it did lead to innovation, and the companies we thought would benefit the most didn't necessarily do so, my basic comment was "it will allow big companies to get so much bigger."

6. cf another Atlantic article:

"Kristi Noem’s National Guard Deployment Is America’s Future"

The private sector has long been absorbing duties that belong to the government—and that pattern is intensifying.

 
At 8:31 AM, Anonymous charlie said...

I've made this point before -- but looking at the broad map of vaccine hesitancy on the US is a mirror of the massive disinvestment in the central US.

A progressive party -- rather than a generational one -- would be the ones trying to turn that around. Much like thought we think of FDR now as unions and big cities and the "oppressed" he was mostly concerned with rural poverty in the south and west.

There is always moral causes. I'd dit your last last -- that this isn't about the decline of the Christian right but the final stage of the decline of mainline Protestants.

(Funny story. My cousin (female) is a Presbyterian minister. I won't go off on a tangent of the feminiantizaion of Christianity but it's a real reason why men turn away from churches. She was a huge anti-vaxxer back in the day -- didn't give her kid measles shots etc. Singing a different tune now, but I'd say her congregation has an average age of 75)


You might enjoy this:

https://philo.substack.com/p/this-ladnd-is-my-land


 
At 12:45 PM, Blogger Richard Layman said...

Will read the cite, thanks.

WRT your general points. YES. I've always been surprised that the Democrats didn't develop a NEW NEW DEAL in the face of decline in the "Rust Belt" and the farming states.

I remember during Reagan how they were against selecting a standard for AM Stereo, that "the market" should decide. So competing companies basically meant that AM Stereo could never develop and therefore the AM band stays weak.

And how the Carter Administration was working with the steel industry and union for a new way forward, and all the work was scuttled by the Reagan Administration.

(When I moved here in the late 1980s, there was an op ed by Joe Califano in the Post about health care, and I thought maybe there'd be an understanding of the need to nationalize health care to help make the auto industry more competitive. Of course it never happened.)

But at the same time, the "whatever happened to Kansas" (Thomas Frank) culture wars were successfully made to be more important than economics.

And the otherism of race. And individualism and the making out of poverty to be the sign of moral failure.

Vaccination "hesitancy" to me is another example of the failure to "help yourself."

Like this:

https://www.nytimes.com/2019/10/04/opinion/sunday/trump-arkansas.html

https://www.newyorker.com/news/benjamin-wallace-wells/arlie-russell-hochschilds-view-of-small-town-decay-and-support-for-trump

======
wrt feminization of "christianity" I think it's more accurate to say, the feminization of traditional Christian religious denominations. I hadn't thought of that, but I can see that being an issue. Old (Tough Man) versus New (Jesus is beautiful) Testament.

The nondenominational churches are partly about DIY and self help, although not completely metrosexual. But the Southern nondenominational is probably something else entirely.

 
At 1:34 PM, Blogger Richard Layman said...

Relating to the "tough s***" approach, there's a Post article on how even with the reorganization of the minor league baseball system, players get very little money, are pretty impoverished.

The article has links to some twitter threads in response to posts from minor league player advocacy groups.

Most of the comments are "be glad they're giving you food at all".

 
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